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32. 1997 Economic Census





892. Composite Indexes of Economic Cyclical Indicators



 
             Item Unit 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
 
 
Leading index, composite 1992=100 89.5 89.8 89.6 94.5 96.2 97.1 98.4 100.0 100.3 99.6 99.2 99.1 100.0 100.4 101.3 100.8 102.1 103.9 105.5
  Average weekly hours, manufacturing Hours 39.7 39.9 39.0 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 41.0 40.9 40.8 40.7 41.1 41.5 41.9 41.6 41.5 42.0 41.8
  Average weekly initial claims for
   unemployment insurance 1,000 488.9 450.1 585.8 438.7 373.1 391.7 377.4 324.2 311.4 330.0 385.9 448.0 406.0 352.6 342.0 358.3 351.6 319.4 315.4
  Manufacturers' new orders, consumer
   goods and materials (1992 dol.) Mil. dol. 96,153 97,060 88,933 100,364 108,382 108,808 110,989 117,138 121,223 120,699 118,017 114,410 120,160 125,343 136,312 139,592 142,199 151,576 154,552
  Vendor performance, slower deliveries
   diffusion index Percent 40.6 46.3 43.5 56.8 57.3 48.0 50.6 57.4 57.7 47.6 47.9 47.3 50.2 51.6 60.1 52.8 50.5 53.9 51.1
  Manufacturers' new orders, nondefense
   capital goods (1992 dol.) Mil. dol. 27,142 27,229 23,809 23,627 28,002 28,769 27,678 29,646 34,366 35,144 34,598 31,074 31,486 31,156 34,629 38,743 42,066 45,195 48,437
  Building permits, new private
   housing units 1,000 1,246.4 1,031.8 1,040.6 1,690.4 1,737.2 1,780.9 1,820.6 1,584.5 1,492.7 1,388.3 1,155.1 972.3 1,128.8 1,241.1 1,366.9 1,335.8 1,419.1 1,444.6 1,612.8
  Stock prices, 500 common stocks 1941-43=10 118.8 128.0 119.7 160.4 160.5 186.8 236.3 286.8 265.8 322.8 334.6 376.2 415.7 451.4 460.3 541.6 670.8 872.7 1,084.3
  Money supply, M2 (1992 dol.) Bil. dol. 2,534 2,637 2,722 2,923 3,041 3,194 3,358 3,445 3,486 3,462 3,433 3,459 3,414 3,362 3,339 3,333 3,425 3,536 3,761
  Interest rate spread, 10-year
   Treasury bonds less federal funds Percent -1.9 -2.5 0.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 0.9 1.7 1.3 -0.7 0.5 2.2 3.5 2.9 2.9 0.7 1.1 0.9 -0.1
  Index of consumer expectations 1966:1=100 56.8 65.0 62.7 84.7 92.7 86.5 85.8 81.3 85.2 85.3 70.2 70.3 70.3 72.8 83.8 83.2 85.7 97.7 98.3
 
Coincident index, composite 1992=100 80.2 81.0 79.3 80.7 86.1 88.7 90.7 93.5 96.9 99.1 100.3 98.7 100.0 102.5 105.9 109.3 112.5 116.7 120.9
  Employees on nonagricultural
   payrolls 1000 90,418 91,161 89,552 90,145 94,404 97,387 99,344 101,953 105,204 107,890 109,404 108,255 108,591 110,692 114,135 117,189 119,594 122,673 125,803
  Personal income less transfer
   payments (1992 dol.) Bil. dol. 3,361 3,443 3,429 3,480 3,762 3,894 4,012 4,118 4,264 4,369 4,580 4,337 4,382 4,455 4,833 4,974 5,140 5,382 5,683
  Industrial production 1992=100 79.7 81.0 76.6 79.5 86.6 88.0 89.0 93.1 97.3 99.0 98.9 97.0 100.0 103.6 109.1 114.4 119.4 127.0 132.4
  Manufacturing and trade
   sales (1992 dol.) Mil. dol. 434,290 436,961 419,104 439,689 476,624 490,385 509,261 527,945 551,571 561,303 562,978 554,167 573,725 594,679 627,972 652,755 675,345 714,249 756,217
 
Lagging index, composite 1992=100 104.6 102.7 101.2 97.6 100.9 103.9 104.5 104.2 105.0 106.8 106.8 104.2 100.0 99.5 100.4 104.0 105.1 105.6 107.2
  Average duration of unemployment Weeks 11.9 13.8 15.6 19.9 18.1 15.6 15.0 14.5 13.5 11.9 12.0 13.7 17.8 18.0 18.8 16.6 16.7 15.8 14.5
  Inventories to sales ratio,
   manufacturing and trade (1992 dol.) Ratio 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
  Change in labor cost per unit of
   output, manufacturing Percent 11.1 7.3 5.3 -3.4 2.0 1.8 -0.6 -1.7 2.7 2.2 2.8 2.2 -1.0 1.0 -1.8 -2.4 -3.6 -1.2 0.8
  Average prime rate Percent 15.3 18.9 14.9 10.8 12.0 9.9 8.3 8.2 9.3 10.9 10.0 8.5 6.3 6.0 7.1 8.8 8.3 8.4 8.4
  Commercial and industrial
   loans outstanding (1992 dol.) Mil. dol. 332,044 357,781 397,928 375,727 419,511 446,862 448,470 449,793 512,140 538,583 570,099 517,683 458,126 457,580 473,665 529,373 547,333 571,390 649,907
  Consumer installment credit to
   personal income ratio Percent 15.0 13.3 13.0 13.2 14.1 15.8 16.9 16.8 16.8 17.0 16.1 15.8 14.8 14.7 15.3 16.6 17.6 17.5 17.2
  Change in consumer price index
   for services Percent 14.6 14.2 6.9 3.2 5.5 5.0 4.8 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.8 4.6 3.7 3.8 3.1 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.6


Source: The Conference Board, New York, NY 10022-6601,Business Cycle Indicators, monthly (copyright).http://www.conference-board.org/

https://allcountries.org/uscensus/892_composite_indexes_of_economic_cyclical_indicators.html

These tables are based on figures supplied by the United States Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce and are subject to revision by the Census Bureau.

Copyright © 2019 Photius Coutsoukis and Information Technology Associates, all rights reserved.